January 5, 2015

What a good 2014! I’ll post my 2015 thesis soon, but I expect a strong U.S. economy with a weak international economy.  A strong U.S. dollar.  Low copper demand. Interest rates staying lower for longer… they may NOT be increased this summer. Low oil prices… this standoff will last for a while. My initial reaction is that the U.S. economy will be better than 2014, but the stocks will not be as strong as 2014 because there will be many more events that will sway sentiment negatively.

So I finished the year at $116,363.41, a gain of 16.36% for the year.  Not bad at all!  This was mostly indexing with some expansion later in the year.  But healthcare, materials, and utilites made the early part of the year for me, with tech and certain retail stocks carrying the later half.

The S&P 500 finished the year up 14.53%.

Here’s the transaction record: 12-31-14 – Transaction Record

For the next year, I’m using the built-in Interactive Brokers account and not the Morningstar system.  Morningstar makes nice reports, but their trade tracking is sub-par…

Here’s the opening portfolio for 2015:  01-02-15 – Statement

The Interactive Brokers (where I custody funds) simulated trading account is excellent for tracking all trades in real time. So now I don’t have to track or record anything.  The trade dates, times, amounts, profits / losses are all recorded right in those statements!  The one quirk is the starting value was $148,310.01. I don’t know why, it just was.

Anyway, the 2015 strategy will be posted soon.